Love the White Sox once again today as I think they have a significant pitching advantage. I see a lot of value for them on the road where they have played well this year. Colon who will start for Oakland has had a great start to the season posting a 2.63 ERA over 4 starts, but now he faces a team ranked in the top 10 in OPS vs. RHP in the White Sox with a .752. Colon had 3 starts vs. the Mariners who are 27th with a .613 and a start against the Angels who are off to a slow start ranked 18th. Colon has been helped by a .229 BABIP and his 2.63 ERA is not as good as advertised as he's got a 3.42 xFIP still very good, but he did post an ERA over 5 in Spring Training and now he'll play a team that has been hitting in the White Sox who are .278 vs. RHP on the road 5.34 runs per 9 and over their last 5 they post even better numbers of .290 and 6.37 runs per 9.
Jake Peavy will make a start on the road where he actually was very good last year posting a 3.35 ERA in 8 starts. Peavy has been impressive thus far posting a 2.75 ERA in 3 starts vs. some good hitting teams in the Rangers, Orioles, and Tigers. He's got a 21:2 K/B ratio which is very impressive bringing his FIP below 2. Oakland now is 26th in OPS vs. RHP and I don't see them being able to get to Peavy who they haven't really faced with only a combined 19 AB on the roster and a .211 average. Oakland just .222 at home vs. RHP and 3.32 runs per 9. White Sox also have the better bullpen posting a 1.45 ERA on the road and a 0 ERA over their last 5 while Oakland has a 3.23 ERA at home. White Sox are 19-7 in their last 26 road games as a favorite.
Phillies offense has been awful they are 8-51 with runners in scoring position over their last 6 games and they are 28th with a .582 OPS vs. LHP which they'll face tonight in MIley a pitcher they have never seen before. They are hitting just .206 and 1.38 runs per 9 vs. LHP on the road this season. While the Dbacks are having issues of their own ranked 21st .696 OPS vs. RHP it's been mostly due to injuries and with Upton looking like he's back and Montero having solid numbers vs. Kendrick 4-6 HR I am confident the Dbacks will win tonight. Kendrick has 2 appearances at Chase Field and posts a 6.43 ERA. He has a 5.15 xFIP this year despite his 1.93 ERA out of the bullpen. Dbacks are 22-6 in their last 28 as a home favorite and 36-16 in their last 52 vs. RH starter.
